Politics / Elections

Mississauga mayoral election winner? — Will Dipika Damerla win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
1.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Best price
Kalshi
1¢
bid 0¢ · ask 2¢
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Polymarket
2¢
bid 1¢ · ask 4¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner' ↔ 'Mississauga mayoral election winner?' (score 0.80, outcome match 1.00, llm=same).

Kalshi ticker
KXMISSISSAUGAMAYOR-26OCT26-DDAM
Resolves 10/26/2027
Polymarket condition
0x2880bba4143e4678…
Resolves 10/27/2026
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