Geopolitics
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election? — Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
38.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range34.6pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: '2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?' ↔ 'Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?' (score 0.67, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXFRENCHPRES-27-DVIL
Resolves 5/30/2028
Polymarket condition
0xe90a8546106f5cc5…
Resolves 4/17/2027
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.