Politics / Elections
WI-03 Democratic nominee? — Will Emily Berge be the Democratic nominee for WI-03?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 449 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
8.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.8pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner' ↔ 'WI-03 Democratic nominee?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXWIPRIMARY-03D26-EBER
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x51a785fe82936f06…
Resolves 8/11/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.