Politics / Elections
Kelowna mayoral election winner? — Will Emily Salsbury win the 2026 election for Mayor of Kelowna, British Columbia?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
0.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Kelowna Mayoral Election' ↔ 'Kelowna mayoral election winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.57, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXKELOWNAMAYOR-26OCT17-ESAL
Resolves 10/17/2027
Polymarket condition
0x67dc5886d4609b6d…
Resolves 10/18/2026
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