Politics / Elections
MI-10 Democratic nominee? — Will Eric Chung be the Democratic nominee for MI-10?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 457 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
17.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner' ↔ 'MI-10 Democratic nominee?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXMIPRIMARY-10D26-ECHU
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x9f9fcc462b3a8f8a…
Resolves 8/4/2026
Pro
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