Other

PFA Player of the Year? — Who will win Players' Player of the Year? — Erling Haaland

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 487 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

6.2%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range3.2pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

7¢

bid 6¢ · ask 7¢

24h vol $3,424

Trade on Kalshi →

Best price

Polymarket

3¢

bid 2¢ · ask 5¢

24h vol $380

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: '2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year Winner' ↔ 'PFA Player of the Year?' (score 0.62, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker

KXPFAPOY-2526-EHAA

Resolves 12/31/2027

Polymarket condition

0x864fac02b8692a03…

Resolves 8/31/2026

Pro

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