Other

GA-13 special election winner? — Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? — Everton Blair Jr.

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

37.4%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range6.5pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

44¢

bid 40¢ · ask 47¢

24h vol $2

Trade on Kalshi →

Best price

Polymarket

37¢

bid 27¢ · ask 47¢

24h vol $23

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'GA-13 Special Election Winner' ↔ 'GA-13 special election winner?' (score 0.83, outcome match 0.80).

Kalshi ticker

KXGA13S-26-EBLA

Resolves 7/28/2027

Polymarket condition

0x88b2f8aa7ebfebbd…

Resolves 7/29/2026

Pro

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