Macro
Unemployment rate in Jul 2026? — Exactly 4.1%
12.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'July Unemployment Rate' ↔ 'Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXECONSTATU3-26JUL-T4.1
Resolves 8/7/2026
Polymarket condition
0x8ad42f13a4ed410e…
Resolves 8/7/2026
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.