Sports

Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals Winner — Will Fabiano Caruana win the Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals?

22.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
26¢
bid 22¢ · ask 29¢
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Best price
Polymarket
23¢
bid 20¢ · ask 25¢
24h vol $110
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Grand Chess Tour: Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz 2026 Winner' ↔ 'Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals Winner' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.75, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-FCAR
Resolves 9/13/2026
Polymarket condition
0xa5ad411f27da19b5
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