Macro / Fed
Fed rate cut before 2027? — Will Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027? — Cuts
9.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.4pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?' ↔ 'Fed rate cut before 2027?' (score 0.83, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXRATECUT-26DEC31
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x93a3b80b1fb48505…
Resolves 1/1/2027
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