Entertainment
Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series — Will Fiona Dourif win Drama Supporting Actress at the Emmy Awards?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
1.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series' (score 0.46, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXEMMYDSACTR-26SEP14-FIO
Resolves 9/14/2027
Polymarket condition
0x405de0d455f0742d…
Resolves 9/14/2026
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