Sports
Mayweather vs Pacquiao — Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs Manny Pacquiao Winner?
60.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range13.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2' ↔ 'Mayweather vs Pacquiao' (score 0.62, outcome match 0.71).
Kalshi ticker
KXBOXING-26SEP19FMAYMPAC-FMAY
Resolves 10/4/2026
Polymarket condition
0x699d6ea54f239ded…
Resolves 9/20/2026
Pro
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