Entertainment

Who will release a new song this year? — Will Frank Ocean release a new song 2026?

22.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range9.5pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
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Best price
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18¢
bid 11¢ · ask 24¢
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Polymarket
27¢
bid 16¢ · ask 38¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Which artists will release a new song in 2026?' ↔ 'Who will release a new song this year?' (score 0.57, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-FRA
Resolves 1/8/2027
Polymarket condition
0xce92e2efdc13584f
Resolves 1/1/2027
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