Politics / 2028

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Who will win the next presidential election? — Gavin Newsom

15.1%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

15¢

bid 14¢ · ask 15¢

24h vol $7,975

Polymarket

16¢

bid 16¢ · ask 16¢

24h vol $9,163

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Presidential Election Winner 2028' ↔ '2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.75).

Kalshi ticker

KXPRESPERSON-28-GNEWS

Resolves 11/7/2029

Polymarket condition

0x4567b275e6b667a6…

Resolves 11/7/2028

Pro

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