Politics / 2028
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
22.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.7pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028' ↔ '2028 Democratic presidential nominee' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Resolves 11/7/2028
Polymarket condition
0x0f49db97f71c68b1…
Resolves 11/7/2028
Pro
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