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Politics / 2028

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

17.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.3pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
18¢
bid 17¢ · ask 18¢
24h vol $73,389
Trade on Kalshi →
Polymarket
20¢
bid 20¢ · ask 20¢
24h vol $14,466
Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028' ↔ '2028 Democratic presidential nominee' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Resolves 11/7/2028
Polymarket condition
0x0f49db97f71c68b1…
Resolves 11/7/2028
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