Politics / 2028
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
13.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
Sign up free to see how prices have moved
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028' ↔ '2028 Democratic presidential nominee' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Resolves 11/7/2028
Polymarket condition
0x0f49db97f71c68b1…
Resolves 11/7/2028
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.