Politics / 2028

2028 Democratic VP nominee — Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

3.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
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Kalshi
3¢
bid 3¢ · ask 4¢
24h vol $26
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Polymarket
3¢
bid 2¢ · ask 4¢
24h vol $14
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Democratic VP Nominee 2028' ↔ '2028 Democratic VP nominee' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXVPRESNOMD-28-GN
Resolves 11/7/2028
Polymarket condition
0x3d08aa0566b54ceb…
Resolves 11/8/2028
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