Entertainment

Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series — Will Harrison Ford win Comedy Supporting Actor at the Emmy Awards?

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

51.2%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range4.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

54¢

bid 52¢ · ask 55¢

24h vol $16

Trade on Kalshi →

Best price

Polymarket

50¢

bid 49¢ · ask 50¢

24h vol $21

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series' (score 0.46, outcome match 0.60).

Kalshi ticker

KXEMMYCSACTO-26SEP14-HAR

Resolves 9/14/2027

Polymarket condition

0x639d4e626537963c…

Resolves 9/14/2026

Pro

Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.