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Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Harry Kane

26.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
27¢
bid 26¢ · ask 28¢
24h vol $1,177
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
26¢
bid 26¢ · ask 26¢
24h vol $1,613
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Ballon d'Or Winner 2026' ↔ 'Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker
KXBALLONDOR-26-HKAN
Resolves 12/31/2026
Polymarket condition
0x12dc2b61723b2a54
Resolves 10/31/2026
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