Other
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Harry Kane
42.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.6pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Ballon d'Or Winner 2026' ↔ 'Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXBALLONDOR-26-HKAN
Resolves 12/31/2026
Polymarket condition
0x12dc2b61723b2a54…
Resolves 10/31/2026
Pro
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