Macro
July 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core — Will Headline be 0.3% or above AND Core be 0.3% or above for Jul 2026? — Headline: 0.3% or above, Core: 0.3% or above
26.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range25.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Core PCE MoM - July 2026' ↔ 'July 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.40, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXCPICOMBO-26JULB-0303
Resolves 8/12/2026
Polymarket condition
0x35353e8a66379914…
Resolves 8/26/2026
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