Politics / Elections
Taichung mayoral election winner? — Will Ho Hsin-chun win the 2026 Taichung mayoral election?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
9.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Taichung Mayor Election Winner' ↔ 'Taichung mayoral election winner?' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.80, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXTAICHUNGMAYOR-26NOV28-HHCH
Resolves 11/28/2027
Polymarket condition
0xe232f2c2d14a5ab8…
Resolves 11/29/2026
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