Sports

Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season — Will Hunter Goodman record 40+ home runs during 2026 Pro Baseball regular season?

70.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
69¢
bid 62¢ · ask 75¢
24h vol $20
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
72¢
bid 66¢ · ask 78¢
24h vol $23
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs' ↔ 'Pro Baseball: 40+ Home Run Season' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.83, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXMLBSEASONHR-26C40-HGOODMAN15
Resolves 10/3/2026
Polymarket condition
0x80990609b668beae
Resolves 10/11/2026
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