Other
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027? — Who will recognize Palestine? — Italy
14.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.8pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?' (score 0.67, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-ITA
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xd904f952c9b10118…
Resolves 12/31/2026
Pro
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