Other
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Will James Clapper be arrested before Jan 2027?
22.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested in 2026?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.67).
Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-JCLA
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x44cd8b15befa5d0c…
Pro
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