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Tour de France: Green Jersey Winner — Will Jasper Philipsen win the green jersey at the 2026 Tour de France?

3.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.4pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
bid · ask 13¢
24h vol $271
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
bid · ask
24h vol $3,708
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Tour De France 2026: Green Jersey' ↔ 'Tour de France: Green Jersey Winner' (score 0.86, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXCYCLINGJERSEY-26TDFRGREEN-JPHI
Resolves 8/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0xe18f2bd2402676af
Resolves 8/9/2026
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