Sports

FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner — Will Javokhir Sindarov win the World Chess Championship?

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 730 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

67.8%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range4.0pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Kalshi

70¢

bid 69¢ · ask 70¢

24h vol $288

Trade on Kalshi →

Best price

Polymarket

66¢

bid 65¢ · ask 66¢

24h vol $210

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: '2026 World Chess Championship: Winner' ↔ 'FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner' (score 0.62, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker

KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26-JSIN

Resolves 12/30/2028

Polymarket condition

0xf35f7e818e58b63a…

Resolves 1/1/2027

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