Politics / Elections
Ottawa mayoral election winner? — Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 366 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
15.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner' ↔ 'Ottawa mayoral election winner?' (score 0.80, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXOTTAWAMAYOR-26OCT26-JLEI
Resolves 10/26/2027
Polymarket condition
0xeb67de02decd7065…
Resolves 10/26/2026
Pro
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