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Who will be arrested before 2027? — Will John Brennan be arrested before Jan 2027?

52.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range11.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
53¢
bid 50¢ · ask 55¢
24h vol $35
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Best price
Polymarket
42¢
bid 24¢ · ask 59¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.67).

Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-JBRE
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x087d55571a3847d9
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