Other
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Will John Brennan be arrested before Jan 2027?
22.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
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P
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested in 2026?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.67, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-JBRE
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x087d55571a3847d9…
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