Politics / Elections
Alaska Governor winner? (Person) — Who will win the governorship in Alaska? — Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 366 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
15.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Alaska Governor Election Winner ' ↔ 'Alaska Governor winner? (Person)' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.67).
Kalshi ticker
KXGOVAK-26-JKRE
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x43cedce4a6af0136…
Resolves 11/3/2026
Pro
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