Sports
MVP Winner? — Will Justin Jefferson win the MVP?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 363 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
0.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner' ↔ 'MVP Winner?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).
Kalshi ticker
KXNFLMVP-27-JJEF
Resolves 2/12/2028
Polymarket condition
0x4d70d339476cdb82…
Resolves 2/15/2027
Pro
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