Other
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Will Kash Patel be arrested before Jan 2027?
4.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.4pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested in 2026?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.67, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-KPAT
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x61cb5d4218aae1f7…
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