Politics
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?
58.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?' (score 0.71, outcome match 0.40).
Kalshi ticker
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-KPAT
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0xde2be5c360bafeb3…
Resolves 12/31/2026
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