Politics / Elections

Texas Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? — Ken Paxton

59.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
60¢
bid 59¢ · ask 60¢
24h vol $17,215
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
61¢
bid 60¢ · ask 61¢
24h vol $4,767
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Texas Senate Election Winner' ↔ 'Texas Senate winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
SENATETX-26-R
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x94521176f57d2ce8
Pro
Order book depth, real-time dislocation alerts, correlated markets, and cross-venue portfolio margin — coming soon.