Politics / Elections
Texas Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? — Ken Paxton
52.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.0pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Texas Senate Election Winner' ↔ 'Texas Senate winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
SENATETX-26-R
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x94521176f57d2ce8…
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