Politics / Elections
Montana Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana? — Kurt Alme
86.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Montana Senate Election Winner' ↔ 'Montana Senate winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
SENATEMT-26-R
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0xd103195d48bf6183…
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