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Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Lamine Yamal

14.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range2.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
15¢
bid 14¢ · ask 16¢
24h vol $6,266
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
13¢
bid 11¢ · ask 14¢
24h vol $310
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Ballon d'Or Winner 2026' ↔ 'Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?' (score 0.50, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker
KXBALLONDOR-26-LYAM
Resolves 12/31/2026
Polymarket condition
0xa34edb6c89823237
Resolves 10/31/2026
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