Entertainment

How many weeks will Iceman spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? — Will ICEMAN by Drake spend 4 weeks at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? — At least 4 weeks

88.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
92¢
bid 90¢ · ask 94¢
24h vol $257
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
88¢
bid 87¢ · ask 88¢
24h vol $1,302
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?' ↔ 'How many weeks will Iceman spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026? ' (score 0.62, outcome match 0.50).

Kalshi ticker
KXWEEKSNUM1-26DEC26-ICE-4
Resolves 12/26/2026
Polymarket condition
0x04e6c15f41c52efc
Resolves 7/31/2026
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