Sports
NBA — Pro Basketball MVP Winner — Will LeBron James win MVP?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
0.6%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'NBA: 2026-27 MVP' ↔ 'Pro Basketball MVP Winner' (score 0.67, outcome match 1.00, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXNBAMVP-27-LJAMES23
Resolves 6/30/2028
Polymarket condition
0x81f7e22b1ac39d3e…
Resolves 7/1/2027
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