Politics

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Will Lee Zeldin leaves EPA Administrator in before 2027?

32.8%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range3.5pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

33¢

bid 31¢ · ask 34¢

24h vol $1,702

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

36¢

bid 32¢ · ask 40¢

24h vol $183

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?' (score 0.71, outcome match 0.40).

Kalshi ticker

KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-LZEL

Resolves 1/1/2027

Polymarket condition

0xa9eb387628150ecc…

Resolves 12/31/2026

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