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Who will be arrested before 2027? — Will Lisa Cook be arrested before Jan 2027?

25.9%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range24.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
20¢
bid 19¢ · ask 21¢
24h vol $192
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
44¢
bid 10¢ · ask 78¢
24h vol $63
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.67).

Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-LCOO
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x9bab81d09284255c
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