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Who will be arrested before 2027? — Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before Jan 2027?

22.0%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range5.0pp dislocation
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Best price
Kalshi
22¢
bid 20¢ · ask 24¢
24h vol $167
Trade on Kalshi
Polymarket
27¢
bid 14¢ · ask 40¢
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will be arrested before 2027?' (score 0.75, outcome match 0.67).

Kalshi ticker
KXARREST-27JAN-MKHA
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x6f79a739c0694af2
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