Politics / Elections
Acre Governor winner? — Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
98.4%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.1pp dislocation
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P
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Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Acre Governor Election Winner' ↔ 'Acre Governor winner?' (score 0.60, outcome match 1.00, llm=same).
Kalshi ticker
KXACREGOV-26OCT04-MASS
Resolves 10/4/2027
Polymarket condition
0xaa06d447b3ae5e98…
Resolves 10/5/2026
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