Sports

UCL — Champions League Winner — Will Manchester City win the Champions League?

6.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range3.0pp dislocation
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Kalshi Polymarket
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Kalshi
7¢
bid 6¢ · ask 7¢
24h vol $2,062
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Polymarket
4¢
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Mapping notes

Event pair: 'UEFA Women's Champions League 2026-27 Winner' ↔ 'Champions League Winner' (score 0.62, outcome match 1.00, llm=uncertain).

Kalshi ticker
KXUCL-27-MCI
Resolves 6/19/2027
Polymarket condition
0x7184458dd2f11f8c…
Resolves 5/31/2027
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