Other
Rafael Leao: Next Club — Where will Rafael Leao go next? — Manchester United
28.7%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range33.6pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Where will Rafael Leao transfer?' ↔ 'Rafael Leao: Next Club' (score 0.50, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02RLEAO-MUN
Resolves 10/9/2026
Polymarket condition
0x42a1189f1ec9399b…
Resolves 9/2/2026
Pro
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