Politics / 2028

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Who will win the next presidential election? — Marco Rubio

14.8%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range4.3pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Kalshi
19¢
bid 18¢ · ask 19¢
24h vol $3,790
Trade on Kalshi
Best price
Polymarket
14¢
bid 14¢ · ask 14¢
24h vol $25,740
Trade on Polymarket

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Presidential Election Winner 2028' ↔ '2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.75).

Kalshi ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB
Resolves 11/7/2029
Polymarket condition
0x2053d8515f1b8cbe
Resolves 11/7/2028
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