Politics
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Will Marco Rubio leaves Secretary of State in before 2027?
17.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range5.5pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?' ↔ 'Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?' (score 0.71, outcome match 0.40).
Kalshi ticker
KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-MRUB
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x48a3e95c0bc1b930…
Resolves 12/31/2026
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