Other

GA-13 special election winner? — Who will win the 2026 GA-13 special election? — Marcye Scott

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 364 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

54.2%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range10.5pp dislocation

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

53¢

bid 50¢ · ask 55¢

24h vol $519

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

63¢

bid 53¢ · ask 73¢

24h vol $103

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'GA-13 Special Election Winner' ↔ 'GA-13 special election winner?' (score 0.83, outcome match 1.00).

Kalshi ticker

KXGA13S-26-MSCO

Resolves 7/28/2027

Polymarket condition

0x14910eb35c96b356…

Resolves 7/29/2026

Pro

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