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Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Will María Corina Machado de facto hold head of state of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
3.3%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?' ↔ 'Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?' (score 0.71, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01-MMAC
Resolves 1/2/2027
Polymarket condition
0xe4044a81d532d399…
Resolves 12/31/2026
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