Entertainment

Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series — Will Martin Short win Comedy Actor at the Emmy Awards?

Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.

9.1%volume-weighted implied probability

YES price range

0%50%100%

Kalshi Polymarket

Best price

Kalshi

9¢

bid 8¢ · ask 9¢

24h vol $345

Trade on Kalshi →

Polymarket

10¢

bid 9¢ · ask 10¢

24h vol $533

Trade on Polymarket →

Mapping notes

Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series' (score 0.46, outcome match 0.43).

Kalshi ticker

KXEMMYCACTO-26SEP14-MAR

Resolves 9/14/2027

Polymarket condition

0xf9a00a8ba595b470…

Resolves 9/14/2026

Pro

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