Health / Science
Measles cases in 2026? — Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026? — Above 4000
96.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
7-day price history
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Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?' ↔ 'Measles cases in 2026?' (score 1.00, outcome match 0.50, llm=uncertain).
Kalshi ticker
KXMEASLES-26-4000
Resolves 1/1/2027
Polymarket condition
0x15a76480d8b6c81b…
Resolves 1/1/2027
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