Politics / Elections
CA-14 primary: Who will advance? — Will Melissa Hernandez advance in the 2026 CA-14 primary?
94.5%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range17.0pp dislocation
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'CA-14 Primary Winners' ↔ 'CA-14 primary: Who will advance?' (score 0.60, outcome match 0.50).
Kalshi ticker
KXCAPRIMARY-1426-MHER
Resolves 11/3/2027
Polymarket condition
0x066e026443590ffd…
Resolves 6/2/2026
Pro
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