Entertainment
Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series — Will Michael Urie win Comedy Supporting Actor at the Emmy Awards?
Heads up: Kalshi and Polymarket resolve this market 365 days apart — the price difference may reflect different time horizons rather than a genuine arbitrage opportunity.
1.2%volume-weighted implied probability
YES price range
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Kalshi Polymarket
Mapping notes
Event pair: 'Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series' ↔ 'Emmy winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series' (score 0.46, outcome match 0.60).
Kalshi ticker
KXEMMYCSACTO-26SEP14-MIC
Resolves 9/14/2027
Polymarket condition
0x3d2b993395f15cb6…
Resolves 9/14/2026
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